Decisions in Crisis: Israel, 1967 and 1973 by Michael Brecher

By Michael Brecher

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2) is important. In simpler terms, hegemons may prefer creating a situation where the hegemonised readily comply rather than complying because they are forced to through coercive measures. Machiavelli recognized the importance of this when he pointed out that “even a ruthless ruler needs to ensure that the ruled believe his rule is justified” 15 (Wester and Warner 2002: 66). As Nye states, “if you can get others to admire your ideas and what you want, you do not have to spend as much on sticks and carrots to move them in your direction.

Speaking in 1985, the authors also noted that “as far as the Jordan waters are concerned, Israel dominates the scene, strong on all three factors. Major conflict is precluded” (Frey and Naff 1985: 79). The prediction has held in the decades since and seems likely to hold in the decades to come, if by ‘major conflict’ is understood to mean ‘war’. Frey and Naff‘s most salient prediction may perhaps be found in their consideration of the political strength of the Zionist ideology and agricultural lobbies in Israel when they assert that “there will have to be some major internal political battles fought if Israel is to take some of the progressive measures [it will need to in order to reduce water consumption]” (Frey and Naff 1985: 81).

Apparently deliberate attempts to poison the spring were made when a number of soiled diapers were left directly in the water at the spring’s outlet. International NGO Oxfam-GB endeavoured to help the residents in 2003 by protecting the spring with concrete, burying the pipes, and raising awareness of the settlers‘ actions to the local IDF authorities (Oxfam 2003b). Oxfam employees set out for the work following two weeks of coordination with the IDF‘s Civil Administration, and assurances that they would be protected from the settlers.

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